Polymarket AI Trading Bot SaaS

The SaaS version of the most advanced autonomous Polymarket trading bot. This production-grade platform discovers prediction markets, researches evidence with web search, forecasts probabilities using a multi-model AI ensemble (GPT-4o, Claude, Gemini), and executes trades with 15+ independent risk checks and fractional Kelly position sizing — all wrapped in a turnkey SaaS you can deploy and sell.

What You Get — A Complete SaaS Platform:

• Production landing page — high-converting marketing site with feature breakdowns, live stats, pricing tiers, testimonials, and sign-up flow
• Stripe checkout & subscription billing — one-time and recurring plans, invoice generation, coupons, and webhook handling
• User authentication — registration, login, email verification, password recovery, and session management
• 9-tab real-time dashboard — glassmorphism dark-themed UI with full visibility into portfolio health, trading pipeline, analytics, whale movements, decision intelligence, strategies, journal, admin, and built-in docs
• Admin panel — system health scoring, API key management, feature flags, database tools, risk monitor, and live log viewer
• License & entitlement system — activation keys, plan-based feature gating, and seat management

Multi-Model AI Forecasting:

• 3-model ensemble: GPT-4o (40%), Claude 3.5 Sonnet (35%), Gemini 1.5 Pro (25%) running in parallel
• Models forecast independently — not anchored to market price
• Adaptive weighting — tracks per-model Brier scores by category and reweights over time
• Platt scaling calibration, evidence quality penalties, and ensemble spread penalties
• Auto-retraining after 30+ resolved markets

Autonomous Research Engine:

• Site-restricted searches per category (site:bls.gov for macro, site:sec.gov for corporate, site:fec.gov for elections)
• Contrarian queries to seek disconfirming evidence
• 3 pluggable search backends (SerpAPI, Bing, Tavily) with automatic fallback
• Domain authority scoring and low-quality domain filtering

Risk Management — 15+ Independent Checks:

• Kill switch, drawdown auto-kill, 4-level heat system (Normal → Warning → Critical → Max)
• Max stake per market, daily loss limits, max open positions
• Minimum edge, liquidity, spread, evidence quality, and confidence thresholds
• Category exposure caps, timeline checks, and arbitrage detection
• Every trade must pass ALL checks — a single failure blocks execution

Whale & Smart Money Intelligence:

• Auto-discovers top 100 wallets by profit and volume from Polymarket leaderboard
• Delta detection for entries, exits, and size changes
• Conviction scoring — whale count × dollar size = actionable signal
• Edge integration — whales agree with model → +8% edge boost; disagree → -2% penalty

Smart Order Execution:

• Auto strategy selection: Simple, TWAP, Iceberg, or Adaptive based on order size and book depth
• 6 exit strategies: dynamic stop-loss, trailing stop, hold-to-resolution, time-based, edge reversal, kill switch
• Fill tracker monitors fill rate, slippage, and time-to-fill

10-Stage Trading Pipeline:

1. Scan active markets from Polymarket Gamma API
2. Classify into 11 categories using 100+ regex rules (zero LLM cost)
3. Pre-research quality filter (~90% API cost savings)
4. Evidence gathering with site-restricted web search
5. 3-model ensemble forecasting in parallel
6. Calibration (Platt scaling + historical + evidence penalties)
7. 15+ independent risk checks
8. Fractional Kelly position sizing with 7 multipliers
9. Auto-selected order execution strategy
10. Dynamic monitoring with stop-loss, trailing stops, and edge reversal detection

Tech Stack:

• Python + Flask (trading engine & dashboard)
• Next.js 14 + TypeScript (SaaS landing page & billing)
• PostgreSQL + Prisma ORM (SaaS layer)
• SQLite with WAL mode (trading engine)
• Stripe Payments
• Docker + Railway-ready deployment
• OpenAI, Anthropic, Google AI integrations

Paper trading by default. Three independent safety gates must be unlocked for live orders. Production-ready, fully tested, and designed to deploy in minutes.